← Match stats

Match rates

What applicants who matched their preferred specialty looked like, compared with those who didn't. From NRMP's Charting Outcomes (2024). It shows who matched, not a prediction of your odds.

Add your Step 2 or rank list to mark where you land on the curves. Rank list = how many programs you'll rank in this specialty (the strongest signal in the data).

%
of the Non-U.S. IMGs who ranked Otolaryngology first went on to match it (NRMP 2024).

NRMP's chance curves cover IMG applicants; this cohort isn't modelled, so here's the overall rate and the averages below.

The full averages

What matched and unmatched applicants reported to NRMP. Higher isn't always better: the groups trade places on research and degrees, which is why we don't turn those into odds.

Measure Matched Didn't match
Rank-list length
Programs ranked in this specialty in a row. The clearest lever in the data: longer lists match more
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Specialties ranked
1.0 means they applied to this specialty only
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USMLE Step 2 CK
The score programs screen on
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Research experiences
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Abstracts, presentations & publications
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Work experiences
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Volunteer experiences
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Have a PhD
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Have another graduate degree
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USMLE Step 1
Legacy: pass/fail since 2022, so these are partial
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How to read these numbers

  • "Matched" means matched to the preferred specialty shown. Many who didn't still matched another specialty, or in SOAP.
  • Step 2 CK and COMLEX Level 2-CE are the scores programs screen on. Step 1 and COMLEX Level 1 are pass/fail now, so their averages here are old and partial.
  • Most numbers are self-reported, and small-sample rows are only a handful of people. An estimate from history, never a prediction of your odds.

Source: NRMP Charting Outcomes in the Match, 2024 (Non-U.S. IMG edition).