← Match stats

Match rates

What applicants who matched their preferred specialty looked like, compared with those who didn't. From NRMP's Charting Outcomes (2024). It shows who matched, not a prediction of your odds.

Add your Step 2 or rank list to mark where you land on the curves. Rank list = how many programs you'll rank in this specialty (the strongest signal in the data).

53%
of the 7,852 Non-U.S. IMGs matched their preferred specialty (NRMP 2024).

NRMP's chance curves are specialty-specific, so pick a specialty above to see yours.

The full averages

What matched and unmatched applicants reported to NRMP. Higher isn't always better: the groups trade places on research and degrees, which is why we don't turn those into odds.

Measure Matched n=4196 Didn't match n=3656
Rank-list length
Programs ranked in this specialty in a row. The clearest lever in the data: longer lists match more
6.2 2.5
Specialties ranked
1.0 means they applied to this specialty only
1.3 1.4
USMLE Step 2 CK
The score programs screen on
245 240
Research experiences
2.8 3.1
Abstracts, presentations & publications
8.3 7.3
Work experiences
4.1 4.3
Volunteer experiences
2.8 2.8
Have a PhD
1.8% 2.4%
Have another graduate degree
19.4% 22.0%
USMLE Step 1
Legacy: pass/fail since 2022, so these are partial
234 228

How to read these numbers

  • "Matched" means matched to the preferred specialty shown. Many who didn't still matched another specialty, or in SOAP.
  • Step 2 CK and COMLEX Level 2-CE are the scores programs screen on. Step 1 and COMLEX Level 1 are pass/fail now, so their averages here are old and partial.
  • Most numbers are self-reported, and small-sample rows are only a handful of people. An estimate from history, never a prediction of your odds.

Source: NRMP Charting Outcomes in the Match, 2024 (Non-U.S. IMG edition).